Critical global developments with particular regard to terrorist threats, political strife, strikes, criminal activity, aviation incidents and health outbreaks


  • Pakistan
  • Indonesia


  • Kenya


  • Bahrain
  • Democratic Republic of the Congo

Security Threat Level Explanation

Security threat levels range from 1 (Very Low) to 5 (Very High) and are determined using a comprehensive system that utilizes both qualitative and quantitative analysis. The primary factors used to determine a location’s security threat level are Armed Conflict, Crime, Demonstrations/Strikes, Ethnic/Sectarian Tensions, Graft/Corruption, Kidnapping, Political Instability, Government Restriction and Terrorism.

Hot Spots Report 


Indonesia (Security threat level - 4): On 3 November 2016, officials in Jakarta increased security measures in anticipation of a planned 4 November protest against Jakarta’s Governor Basuki "Ahok" Tjahaja Purnama, including the deployment of armored vehicles and anti-riot police officers due to concerns that the protest will likely turn violent. Police officers have increased patrols and are monitoring online activities in order to detect any attempts to incite violence among the expected 35,000 participants. Hardline Islamists organized the protest, accusing the governor of committing blasphemy. A leader of the Islamic Defenders Front (FPI), the group that is organizing the protest, claimed that the demonstration will be peaceful, and local officials have not provided information with regard to any credible threats. Despite this and the FPI’s assurances, the potential for unrest is high, as extremists could easily utilize the demonstration to stage or incite acts of violence. The demonstration will take place after Friday prayers at the Istiqlal Mosque and will continue to the State Palace and to the House of Representatives, before ending at 1800 local time (1100 UTC).
Pakistan (Security threat level - 5): In the morning hours of 3 November 2016, two passenger trains were involved in an accident near Landhi Railway Station in Karachi, causing multiple casualties. The Fareed Express train hit the rear end of the stationary Zakaria Express between Juma Goth and Landhi Railway Station. Statements from officials indicate that human error was the likely cause of the crash. Local media reports indicate that at least 20 people were killed and more than 60 others were injured.


Kenya (Security threat level - 4): On 3 November 2016, police officers clashed with anti-corruption protesters in the capital city of Nairobi. Witnesses reported that the officers used their batons against the protesters and fired tear gas to disperse the crowd that had gathered in the central business district. Hundreds of demonstrators were protesting after local media reported allegations of corruption and misappropriation of funds in public health care.


Bahrain (Security threat level - 3): On 3 November 2016, the U.K. Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) issued an update to its travel advice for Bahrain, which reads in part as follows: "The following demonstrations and protests are planned:

"On Thursday 3 November:

  • "calls for an unauthorised protest in Sanabis, starting at 6:45pm
  • "calls for an unauthorised protest in Diraz, starting at 8pm

"On Friday 4 November:

  • "calls for an unauthorised protest in Karranah, starting at 4pm
  • "calls for an unauthorised protest in Barbar, starting at 7pm"





3 November

Ecuador: Foundation of Cuenca (Public holiday)
Hinduism: Diwali (Hindu Festival of Light)
Liberia: Thanksgiving Day
Maldives: Victory Day
Namibia: Security guards to stage marches in Windhoek, Walvis Bay, Swakopmund, Oshakati, Tsumeb, Rundu, Luderitz, Katima Mulilo, Otjiwarongo, Gobabis, Grootfontein, Okahandja and Keetmanshoop
Panama: Independence Day (Businesses, schools close)
Somalia: Parliamentary elections

4 November

Israel: Anniversary of the assassination of former Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin (1995)
Panama: Flag Day (Government offices close)
Russia: Unity Day
Somalia: Parliamentary elections

5 November

Panama: Colon Day: National holiday; businesses and schools closed.
Somalia: Parliamentary elections

6 November

Dominican Republic: Constitution Day
Morocco: Green March Day
Somalia: Parliamentary elections
Tajikistan: Constitution Day

7 November

Belarus: October Revolution Day
Kyrgyzstan: Day of the Great October Socialist Revolution
Somalia: Parliamentary elections

8 November

Somalia: Parliamentary elections

9 November

Azerbaijan: State Flag Day
Cambodia: Independence Day (Public holiday)
Pakistan: Iqbal Day
Somalia: Parliamentary elections

10 November

Bolivia: Potosi Local Festival
Egypt: Cairo Film Festival
Mozambique: Maputo Day
Nigeria: Anniversary of execution of Ken Saro-Wiwa
Panama: Uprising of Los Santos (First call for independence)
Somalia: Parliamentary elections

11 November

Angola: Independence Day
Belgium / France / Serbia: Armistice Day
Bhutan: Birthday of 4th Druk Gyalpo
Canada: Remembrance Day
Colombia: Independence of Cartagena Day
Egypt: Cairo Film Festival
Maldives: Republic Day
Palestinian Territories: Anniversary of Yasser Arafat's death (2004)
Poland: Independence Day
United States and her territories: Veteran's Day (Federal holiday)

12 November

Azerbaijan: Constitution Day
Egypt: Cairo Film Festival
Venezuela: Day of Indigenous Resistance

13 November

Egypt: Cairo Film Festival
Monaco: Monaco National Day