Critical global developments with particular regard to terrorist threats, political strife, strikes, criminal activity, aviation incidents and health outbreaks

AMERICAS

  • USA

ASIA

  • Indonesia

SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA

  • Côte d’Ivoire
  • Democratic Republic Of The Congo

GOVERNMENT WARNINGS

  • Chile
  • Solomon Islands
  • South Korea
  • Turkey (2)

Security Threat Level Explanation

Security threat levels range from 1 (Very Low) to 5 (Very High) and are determined using a comprehensive system that utilizes both qualitative and quantitative analysis. The primary factors used to determine a location’s security threat level are Armed Conflict, Crime, Demonstrations/Strikes, Ethnic/Sectarian Tensions, Graft/Corruption, Kidnapping, Political Instability, Government Restriction and Terrorism.

HOT SPOTS REPORTS

AMERICAS

United States (Security threat level - 2): According to a report that emerged on 4 November 2016, U.S. intelligence officials have warned authorities in the states of New York, Texas and Virginia about the possibility for terrorist attacks on 7 November. The warnings reportedly did not contain further details regarding potential targets or locations where attacks may occur. Intelligence officials have not confirmed having issued a formal warning to authorities in those states.

Analyst Comment: Due to the lack of further details and uncertainty regarding whether state authorities received a formal warning, it is not possible to state at this point what effect -- if any -- this development will have on travelers or residents in the states of New York, Texas and Virginia. At present, there are no grounds to consider altering travel plans or daily activities in reaction to this report. Individuals in these locations should continue to monitor developments and follow any guidance issued by national or local authorities.


ASIA

Indonesia (Security threat level - 4): On 4 November 2016, an estimated 150,000 protesters took part in a rally in Jakarta to demand the resignation and prosecution of Jakarta’s Governor Basuki "Ahok" Tjahaja Purnama for allegedly committing blasphemy. The rally started at the central Istiqlal Mosque, from where the participants marched toward the Presidential Palace. There was a heavy security presence of approximately 20,000 police and military officers, and many businesses and diplomatic facilities closed for the day due to concerns that extremist groups, such as the Islamic Defenders Front (FPI), would use the demonstration to instigate violence. While several protesters were chanting inflammatory slogans against the governor, the demonstration was largely peaceful. Some of the demonstrators allegedly threw rocks and bottles. Police officers fired tear gas against demonstrators who gathered near the Presidential Palace.

SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA

Côte d’Ivoire (Security threat level - 4): On 3 November 2016, local media reported that political opposition groups plan to conduct a series of marches to protest the outcome of the constitutional referendum vote. In a related development, at a press conference on 3 November, the opposition Front du Refus and the “Coalition du Non” announced a rally to thank their supporters. The rally will take place at Place Ficgayo, located in Abidjan’s Yopougon district, beginning at 0700 local time/UTC on 5 November. According to the opposition spokesperson, the meeting’s organizers are in the process of obtaining the necessary permits from city authorities to hold the rally. Opponents of the new constitution have rejected the referendum outcome, decried alleged fraud and accused the government of forging participation figures that showed a voter turnout of 42 percent.
Democratic Republic Of The Congo (Security threat level - 5): On 3 November 2016, the Congolese National Police (PNC) issued a statement announcing that police officers will step up their presence at "hot spots" and strategic sites in Kinshasa on 5 November to enforce the ban on political public gatherings and demonstrations. In the statement, a police spokesperson called upon local residents to pursue their regular daily activities. The statement further noted that police officials will tolerate no disturbances to public order. An opposition rally is planned in Kinshasa on 5 November; on 3 November, city authorities denied the protest organizers’ request to authorize the 5 November gathering.

GOVERNMENT WARNINGS

Chile (Security threat level - 2): On 3 November 2016, the U.K. Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) issued updated travel advice for Chile, which reads in part as follows: “The Chilean movement ‘no+AFP’ has announced a protest on 4 November 2016 starting from noon at Plaza Italia in Santiago. Peaceful demonstrations can sometimes turn confrontational and violent. You should monitor the local media for the latest information and avoid all protests.”
 
Solomon Islands (Security threat level - 2): On 4 November 2016, the U.K. Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) issued an update to its travel advice for the Solomon Islands, which reads as follows: “The Solomon Island Government has confirmed an outbreak of Dengue Fever throughout the islands, except for Rennell and Bellona Province; you should take steps to avoid being bitten by mosquitoes.”
 
South Korea (Security threat level - 2): On 4 November 2016, the U.K. Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) issued an update to its travel advice for South Korea, which reads as follows: “There are reports there will be a number of anti-government protests on Saturday 5th November 2016, including a large trade union protest in the Gwanghwamun area of Seoul. Public demonstrations in South Korea are mostly peaceful and well-policed, but you should take extra care as in any crowded place.”
 
Turkey (Security threat level - 4): On 4 November 2016, the U.S. Consulate in Adana issued a Security Message that reads in part as follows: "The U.S. Consulate in Adana informs U.S. citizens that demonstrations are expected to take place at Ataturk Park and Inonu Park in Adana throughout the day on Friday, November 4th, 2016. Supporters of the HDP (Peoples’ Democratic Party) will protest the detention of HDP parliamentarians, including co-chairs Selahattin Demirtas and Figen Yüksekdag."

Analyst Comment: Unconfirmed local reports indicate that security officers are under orders to use force -- including lethal force -- to disperse the protest if necessary. In the past, police officers in Turkey have used violent tactics indiscriminately. Travelers should avoid the area of the protest throughout the day.

 
Turkey (Security threat level - 4): On 3 November 2016, the U.S. Consulate in Adana issued a Security Message that reads in part as follows: "Consulate General Adana advises U.S. citizens that extremist groups continue aggressive efforts to attack U.S. citizens and other foreigners in Adana. Attacks may be pre-planned or could occur with little or no warning. They include, but are not limited to: armed attacks, attempted kidnappings, bombings, or other violent acts. The Consulate advises U.S. citizens residing in or visiting Adana to review and update their personal security practices before traveling to locations Westerners are known to frequent or reside. U.S. citizens should also exercise increased vigilance and caution in areas easily accessible to the general public."

SIGNIFICANT DATES

4 November

Israel: Anniversary of the assassination of former Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin (1995)
Panama: Flag Day (Government offices close)
Russia: Unity Day
Somalia: Parliamentary elections

5 November

Panama: Colon Day: National holiday; businesses and schools closed.
Somalia: Parliamentary elections

6 November

Dominican Republic: Constitution Day
Morocco: Green March Day
Somalia: Parliamentary elections
Tajikistan: Constitution Day

7 November

Belarus: October Revolution Day
Kyrgyzstan: Day of the Great October Socialist Revolution
Somalia: Parliamentary elections

8 November

Somalia: Parliamentary elections

9 November

Azerbaijan: State Flag Day
Cambodia: Independence Day (Public holiday)
Pakistan: Iqbal Day
Somalia: Parliamentary elections

10 November

Bolivia: Potosi Local Festival
Egypt: Cairo Film Festival
Mozambique: Maputo Day
Nigeria: Anniversary of execution of Ken Saro-Wiwa
Panama: Uprising of Los Santos (First call for independence)
Somalia: Parliamentary elections

11 November

Angola: Independence Day
Belgium / France / Serbia: Armistice Day
Bhutan: Birthday of 4th Druk Gyalpo
Canada: Remembrance Day
Colombia: Independence of Cartagena Day
Egypt: Cairo Film Festival
Ethiopia: Anniversary of the start of the Oromo protests (2015); elevated threat of unrest.
Maldives: Republic Day
Palestinian Territories: Anniversary of Yasser Arafat's death (2004)
Poland: Independence Day
United States and her territories: Veteran's Day (Federal holiday)

12 November

Azerbaijan: Constitution Day
Egypt: Cairo Film Festival
Venezuela: Day of Indigenous Resistance

13 November

Egypt: Cairo Film Festival
Monaco: Monaco National Day

14 November

Egypt: Cairo Film Festival
Guinea-Bissau: Anniversary of the Movement of Readjustment
India: Guru Nanak's Birthday. Observed as a public holiday in several Indian states
Jordan: Remembrance Day